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Kerala Exit Poll Predicts Massive Slump in Rahul Gandhi’s Vote Share in Wayanad

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In a bitter-sweet prediction for the Congress, an exit poll carried out by the VMR-Manorama News has suggested a massive erosion in Rahul Gandhi’s vote share in the recently-concluded election in Wayanad Lok Sabha constituency.

The exit poll has predicted a clean sweep by the United Democratic Front (UDF), which has an alliance with the Congress, in the Lok Sabha election in Kerala. It has predicted 16 seats for UDF and two seats for the LDF while it’s neck and neck race in two seats.

The exit poll has predicted that if Rahul had secured 64% vote in 2019, his vote share will come down to 50% this time. Interestingly, BJP will have to settle without any seat this time too as per the prediction.

As per the exit poll, the results in Alathur and Kannur could go either way. The exit poll has predicted that BJP will come second in two constituencies Thiruvananthapuram and Pathanamthitta. In Thrissur, BJP will finish third behind LDF, which will come second.

Rahul Gandhi is expected to lose vote share by nearly 14 per cent in the Congress bastion of Wayanad in Kerala, reveals exit poll data. According to a survey done by ManoramaNews-VMR, the LDF vote share is predicted to soar. One major factor to consider is the candidature of senior leaders like CPI’s Annie Raja and BJP state chief K.Surendran. It’s not clear if the voters were influenced by the prospect of Rahul vacating Wayanad if he wins Raebareli, the sole seat won by the Congress in Uttar Pradesh in the previous elections.

The exit poll forecast 50.99 per cent votes for Rahul. Raja is expected to bag 35.48 per cent votes and Surendran 10.65 per cent votes. The LDF’s predicted vote share is 10.36 per cent higher than 2019, while for BJP, it’s 3.44 per cent more.

The exit poll predicted that UDF is slated to garner 16 to 18 seats while LDF might win two to four seats. UDF victory is predicted in Thiruvananthapuram, Kollam, Pathanamthitta, Alappuzha, Kottayam, Idukki, Ernakulam, Chalakkudy, Thrissur, Ponnani, Malappuram, Kozhikode, Wayanad and Kasaragod, says the survey.

LDF is poised to win Palakkad and Vadakara. Alathur and Kannur are expected to see tight battles, with equal chances for both UDF and LDF.

The survey also says BJP will draw a blank this time too though it could come second in Thiruvananthapuram and Pathanamthitta. Shashi Tharoor is the sitting Congress MP from Thiruvananthapuram.

Wayanad: Rahul Gandhi will retain the United Democratic Front (UDF) bastion of Wayanad for the second consecutive time, the ManoramaNews-VMR exit polls indicated. But the former Congress president’s vote share will shrink alarmingly by nearly 14 per cent, as per the exit poll.

This corresponds with a surge in the LDF vote share. Voters probably think Rahul will vacate the constituency if he wins from Raebareli in Uttar Pradesh, the seat vacated by former Congress President Sonia Gandhi. Raebareli is considered a Congress bastion and it was the lone seat the grand old party won in Uttar Pradesh in 2019.

The entry of high-profile leaders in CPI’s Annie Raja and BJP state president K Surendran also reflected in the erosion of vote share from the UDF kitty. Still, Rahul Gandhi is poised to garner 50.99 per cent of votes from the constituency. Annie Raja is slated to get 35.48 per cent votes and K Surendran will garner 10.65 per cent votes, as per exit poll projections.

The exact dip in the vote share of Rahul Gandhi is estimated at 13.65 per cent. The LDF got 10.36 per cent more votes than its share in 2019. Despite the high-profile candidature of BJP state president K Surendran, the saffron party managed to boost its share by only 3.44 per cent.

In 2019, Rahul Gandhi, who received a shock defeat in Amethi Constituency by BJP candidate Smrithi Irani, had won by a massive margin of 4,31,770 votes in the Wayanad constituency. The polls also resulted in Wayand getting national media attention. Rahul bagged 7,06, 367 votes while his main rival PP Suneer of the CPI managed

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